The report titled "Risk Quantification for Sustaining
Coastal Military Installation Asset and Mission
Capabilities (RC-1701)" by Kelly A. Burks-Copes and many colleagues. We here at ODU have hosted Kelly several times and heard her presentation on this work. Now it is published. Here is the LINK to the report.
This modeling done to produce the products in this report are a good example of how to do a risk analysis of this challenge. Good reading.
The US coast from Cape Hatteras to New England is experiencing increased coastal or tidal flooding because of local sea level rise. I started this blog to track the developing scientific understanding of the causes and to provide sources of information to both scientists and anyone else interested.
Friday, October 31, 2014
Wednesday, October 15, 2014
NOAA water level data - Matlab files
I've downloaded most NOAA water level stations from east coast into Matlab 'mat' files.
They are at data link
Disclaimer - no guarantee with this data. If you going to use it check very carefully to make sure it is correct. It is referenced to MHHW.
They are at data link
Disclaimer - no guarantee with this data. If you going to use it check very carefully to make sure it is correct. It is referenced to MHHW.
Sunday, October 12, 2014
State by State SLR reports
Having just got a link to a report by New Hampshire I'm going to put together a list of what might be called official or state government requested reports created by state entities stating SLR rates.
Reports states are doing are often about adapting to SLR so they will or may have a statement about what SLR rate to adapt to.
I'll put all this in a page on this blog as the list builds but here are three that I'm aware of now.
Here are the links. Go to them to make sure you get the correct information.
Delaware
Maryland
New Hampshire
New York Report
Virginia
Florida
Rhode Island
Connecticut
New Jersey
Here are the rise rates stated in the reports - go to the report linked above to see the basis for their guidance. I use their units.
NOTE - data below needs updating
Delaware (2012)
Three scenarios to 2100
0.5 m (1.6 ft), 1.0 m ( 3.3 ft) and 1.5 m (4.9 ft)
Maryland (2013)
2050 Best 0.4 m(1.4 ft)
2050 Low 0.3 m (0.9 ft)
2050 High 0.7 m (2.1 ft)
2100 Best 1.1 m (3.7 ft)
2100 Low 0.7 m (2.1 ft)
2100 High 1.7 m (5.7 ft)
New Hampshire (2014)
2050 Intermediate Low 0.6 ft, High 1.3 ft, Highest 2.0 ft
2100 Intermediate Low 1.6 ft, High 3.9 ft, Highest 6.60 ft
New York for Lower Hudson Valley & Long Island (2010)
Sea level rise
2020s 2 2 to 5 in
Sea level rise with rapid ice‐melt scenario
2020s 3 5 to 10 in
2050s 19 to 29 in
2080s 41 to 55 in
New Jersey (2019) Please look at the report as this is the most sophisticated analysis that I know of by a state. I'll try to summarize it so it compares to other states. All state planners should look at this analysis.
Virginia (2013)
1.5 feet by 2050
Florida (2010)
0.5 to 1.0 m by 2100 (directly from IPCC)
Conversions
1 inch = 0.0254 m
1 foot = 0.3048 m
Reports states are doing are often about adapting to SLR so they will or may have a statement about what SLR rate to adapt to.
I'll put all this in a page on this blog as the list builds but here are three that I'm aware of now.
Here are the links. Go to them to make sure you get the correct information.
Delaware
Maryland
New Hampshire
New York Report
Virginia
Florida
Rhode Island
Connecticut
New Jersey
Here are the rise rates stated in the reports - go to the report linked above to see the basis for their guidance. I use their units.
NOTE - data below needs updating
Delaware (2012)
Three scenarios to 2100
0.5 m (1.6 ft), 1.0 m ( 3.3 ft) and 1.5 m (4.9 ft)
Maryland (2013)
2050 Best 0.4 m(1.4 ft)
2050 Low 0.3 m (0.9 ft)
2050 High 0.7 m (2.1 ft)
2100 Best 1.1 m (3.7 ft)
2100 Low 0.7 m (2.1 ft)
2100 High 1.7 m (5.7 ft)
New Hampshire (2014)
2050 Intermediate Low 0.6 ft, High 1.3 ft, Highest 2.0 ft
2100 Intermediate Low 1.6 ft, High 3.9 ft, Highest 6.60 ft
New York for Lower Hudson Valley & Long Island (2010)
Sea level rise
2020s 2 2 to 5 in
Sea level rise with rapid ice‐melt scenario
2020s 3 5 to 10 in
2050s 19 to 29 in
2080s 41 to 55 in
New Jersey (2019) Please look at the report as this is the most sophisticated analysis that I know of by a state. I'll try to summarize it so it compares to other states. All state planners should look at this analysis.
Virginia (2013)
1.5 feet by 2050
Florida (2010)
0.5 to 1.0 m by 2100 (directly from IPCC)
Conversions
1 inch = 0.0254 m
1 foot = 0.3048 m
Sunday, October 5, 2014
Virginia Beach SLR Adaptation Plan
The City of Virginia Beach and the Hampton Roads Planning District Commission has just released a report titled "Developing a Local Sea Level Rise Adaptation Plan for Virginia Beach". Link to report
The authors are Benjamin J. McFarlane, Hampton Roads Planning District Commission Hampton Roads Planning District Commission
and
Whitney K. McNamara, CFM 723 Woodlake Drive, City of Virginia Beach Planning Department
Flooding maps are included.
They conclude:
Specifically, the City of Virginia Beach will:
1) Use the case studies and other information developed for this report to update existing
city policies;
2) Develop and update outreach materials such as those described in this report as part of
its comprehensive plan update process and ongoing public engagement activities;
3) Use the case studies and other information to help develop a city-wide strategy to
address recurrent flooding and sea level rise.
The Hampton Roads Planning District Commission will:
1) Continue developing and providing policy recommendations related to recurrent
flooding and sea level rise to local governments in Hampton Roads;
2) Use the mapping methodology described in this report to develop regional sea level rise
and storm surge inundation maps to support vulnerability analyses and other technical
services for local governments.
The authors are Benjamin J. McFarlane, Hampton Roads Planning District Commission Hampton Roads Planning District Commission
and
Whitney K. McNamara, CFM 723 Woodlake Drive, City of Virginia Beach Planning Department
Flooding maps are included.
They conclude:
Specifically, the City of Virginia Beach will:
1) Use the case studies and other information developed for this report to update existing
city policies;
2) Develop and update outreach materials such as those described in this report as part of
its comprehensive plan update process and ongoing public engagement activities;
3) Use the case studies and other information to help develop a city-wide strategy to
address recurrent flooding and sea level rise.
The Hampton Roads Planning District Commission will:
1) Continue developing and providing policy recommendations related to recurrent
flooding and sea level rise to local governments in Hampton Roads;
2) Use the mapping methodology described in this report to develop regional sea level rise
and storm surge inundation maps to support vulnerability analyses and other technical
services for local governments.
Friday, October 3, 2014
South Florida SLR
Nice publication titled "Water, Water, Everywhere: Sea Level Rise in Miami"
by scientists at RSMAS explaining SLR in SE Florida LINK"
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